Matt Crowley (@variables) and I were sitting in our usual Starbucks one day, discussing the implications of tools like Twitter and their ability to influence the masses. Having recently tinkered (documentation coming soon) with the Twitter API, we decided it was time to try doing something useful.
The Idea
A while back, Matt replied to one of Scoble’s (@scobleizer) posts. Scoble then posted an @ reply to Matt. Shortly after that, Matt’s popularity in Twitter followers jumped by about 20 users. A significant increase in reach and influence. Obviously the effect of having an “infulential” like Scoble take notice and respond has an effect on a person’s twitter popularity. Matt coined the term “The Scoble Effect.”
An obvious question immediately came to mind: What can we do with existing popular influencers to gain more influence and increase the legitimacy of opinions we post?
Hypothesis: By increasing the number of Twitter followers you have, you increase your influence in the Twitter community.
That’s great. How do we get many followers at once and how do we make our posts more legitimate?
Ever followed one of the twitter bigwigs, the kind with tons of followers (think @scobleizer, @pistachio, @guykawasaki)? They followed you back almost immediately. These powerful and influential figures are using auto-follow scripts like SocialToo and Tweet Later to add an impersonal touch when expanding their influence.
Gaining influence by working directly with the influencers is contrary to Guy Kawasaki’s first rule of Using Twitter as a Twool: Forget the “influentials.” Perhaps we are braving new territory. Maybe we’ll be wrong. Let’s do some research:
Research
There are several questions we think we should address to get this project off the ground:
- Who are the influentials? These are the people we want following.
- Who is auto-following? Which of them will auto-follow us?
- What can we say to these folks? We don’t have to speak to each influential, but we should come up with some well thought out and targeted questions and thoughts that will catch attention and get @ replies.
- How do we measure success?
- How long before we lose interest?
Who are the influentials?
Twitterholic is a great place for Twitter statistics. We take the top 1,000 Twitter users with the highest friend count. Follow each of those top 1,000 users.
Who has auto-follow enabled?
Follow the influentials from the above question. Check back a little later to see who is auto-following. Given that these influentials have so many followers, it stands to reason that they would auto-follow instead of manually reacting to each of 10,000 follow notifications.
Follow notifications come through email; so we’ll get an email when their auto-follow bot does its job and follows us back.
What can we say to these folks?
This will require special thought based on the users in question. Look for an update to this post or updates in the next post.
How do we measure success?
If one of the influentials @ replies us and our follower count jumps, that’s success. In short, we’ll consider The Scoble Effect worth more research.
How long before we lose interest?
Given products we’ve created in the past and our historical attention spans: one week. On the Twitter timeline, this is ancient history.